Forecasting and reconciling hierarchies of intermittent time series with fable
June 30, 2026 - 46th International Symposium On Forecasting, Montreal, Canada
We present two extensions of the R package fable: fable.intermittent and fable.bayesRecon. The former brings probabilistic forecasting methods for count and intermittent time series into the fable ecosystem. The package also introduces the first R implementation of a Tweedie exponential smoothing model. The package fable.bayesRecon brings, for the first time, reconciliation via conditioning into the fable framework. Those methods, first introduced in the package bayesRecon, allow the reconciliation of continuous, mixed, and count forecast hierarchies. We demonstrate the core functionality of both packages and outline directions for future development.
Learning preferences with Gaussian processes: an application to bicycle route selection
June 9, 2026 - IFPEN workshop on learning preferences
We provide a quick overview of preference learning with Gaussian processes, and present a case study on bicycle route selection in the city of Paris. We show how to model user preferences over routes, and how to use the model to recommend routes that are likely to be preferred by a given user.